Stock Market Outlook

NSE Indices: Nifty & Bank Nifty futures for (14-18 June)

 

NSE Indices- Nifty and Bank Nifty futures for next week ( 14-18 June): Indian stock markets closed higher around one percent for the week ended 11 June. Markets gained higher due to the reopening of business in the country, progress on vaccination drive, and FIIs buying. The timely arrival of the monsoon has also supported the market sentiments during the week. In the coming week, the FOMC meeting will play a vital role to set the market direction. 

The other key factors that may impact the BSE and NSE indices, in the next week are as follows

 

Economic Data

 

As per the data released by the National Statistical Office (NSO) on Friday, India’s Industrial production rose by 134.44 percent in April on a low year-on-year (YoY) base against 24.14 percent in March. However, this jump in the factory output is partial data, due to the effect of state-imposed lockdowns and restriction amid the second wave of coronavirus infection. 

The market will first react to the IIP data on Monday and then react on the WPI and CPI data set to be released on Monday. The schedule for the domestic economic data set for next week’s release is given below.

 

Economic Data Next Week
14 Jun 2021 CPI Inflation
14 Jun 2021 WPI Inflation
15 June 2021 Balance Of Trade Export/Import
18 June 2021 Foreign Exchange reserve
18 June 2021 Monetary Policy Meeting minutes

 

Global market cues

 

The global market indices closed mixed during the week as high inflation and its impact on interest rates continued to dominate the markets. The economic data announced during the week were also mixed in U.S and China. The coming week will be vital as several important economic data are expected along with FOMC and BOJ interest rate decisions. The schedule of economic data for the next week are given below

 

Important Global Macro Data Next Week
14 June 2021 Industrial Production MoM Japan
15 June 2021 Unemployment rate GB
15 June 2021 Industrial production & retail sales US
16 June 2021 Balance of Trade Export/Import Japan
16 June 2021 Industrial Production/ Retail Sales China
16 June 2021 Unemployment rate China
16 June 2021 Inflation rate/ Core Inflation GB
16 June 2021 FOMC economic Projection US
16 June 2021 Fed Interest Rate decision US
17 June 2021 Initial Jobless Claim US
18 June 2021 Inflation/ Core Inflation rate Japan
18 June 2021 BOJ Interest Rate Decision Japan
18 June 2021 Retail sales GB

 

NSE indices-Nifty and Bank Nifty futures prediction for (14 – 18 June)

 

 

Nifty futures chart 14 June

NSE Index- Nifty Futures for the next week (14 – 18 June)

 

Primary Trend of NSE Nifty index futures for next week: Positive

Range-Bound Trend of Nifty futures: All up Moves Initiates Profit Booking (Sale) @ 15900 whereas All Down Moves Initiates Short Covering (Buy) @ 15750

Suppose Nifty share price in futures Moves Above 15849 and sustain. Then you should Buy Nifty futures with 1st Target of 15876 during the day or week with a Stop Loss of 15785 FOR the Target of 15876- 15908- 15946- 15985

Suppose Nifty share price in futures Moves Below 15785 and sustain. Then you should Sell with the 1st Target of 15752 during the day or week with a Stop Loss of 15849. FOR the Target of 15752- 15706- 15670 -14630

 

Bank Nifty futures chart 14 June

 

NSE Bank Nifty Index futures for next week (14- 18 June)

 

Primary Trend of NSE Bank Nifty index future for the week: Range-Bound

Range-Bound Trend of Bank Nifty share price in future: All up Moves Initiates Profit Booking (Sale) @ 35700, whereas All Down Moves Initiates Short Covering (Buy) @ 34900

Suppose the Bank Nifty share price in the futures Moves Above 35325 and sustains. Then you should Buy Bank Nifty futures with the 1st Target of 35435 during the day or week with a Stop Loss of  34930. FOR the Target of 35435 – 35570- 35702- 35950

If Bank Nifty shares price in the future Moves Below 34930 and sustained. Then you should Sell with the 1st Target of 34820 during the day or week with a Stop Loss of 35325. FOR the Target of 34820- 34710- 34460 – 34220

 

FII & DIIs investment in Indian stock markets

 

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were buyers while Domestic Institutional investors (DIIs) have sold in the cash market during the week ended 11 June. FIIs have bought Rs 1738.22 crores while DIIs have sold Rs 823.54 crores in the cash market segment during the week.

Meanwhile, the indications of betterment in the second wave of coronavirus infection over the last 21 days have provided some relief, as FIIs turned buyers in the cash market segment. In the last three weeks, FIIs inflow was more than Rs 8,800 crores. The concern over the second wave of the coronavirus pandemic and its possible impact on the Indian economy had kept foreign investors sidelines in the month of April and mid of May. Traders need to keep a close eye on FIIs investment next week.

 

Coronavirus risk & Vaccination

 

India witnessing a decline in covid-19 cases, the country reported 84,332 news cases on Saturday morning in the last 24 hrs, the lowest infection in 70 days. The active cases have decreased by 40.981 in the last 24 hrs to take the tally to less than 11 lakhs ( 10,80,690) after 63 days. According to the government, the recovery rate at national levels has improved to 95.07 percent. The death related to the virus recorded at 4002 in the last 24 hrs, is continued to remain high.

Around 25 crores vaccine administered so far in India. India’s vaccination drive is going to accelerate soon as per the recent government policy. The declining trend of coronavirus infections, reopening of business at various states, and the progress in vaccination drive are positive for the Indian stock markets. 

 

You can also read daily morning market updates before the markets get open and daily NSE Nifty and Bank Nifty Index futures Prediction in the evening on our website.

 

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Happy Investing!!

Editor’s Desk

 

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